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RB Leipzig vs Stuttgart

Tue 12 Jan 2027, 00:00 UTC · Round 16 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

RB Leipzig win: 46.2%

Draw: 25.8%

Stuttgart win: 28.0%

Predicted: RB Leipzig

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 62.7%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 68.2%

Corners

Expected total corners: 10.08

More corners: RB Leipzig (60.1% home / 39.9% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Stuttgart

Yes

Probability Stuttgart wins or draws: 60.8%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result RB Leipzig Clearest lean of the available outcomes (46% vs next-best 28%). (46.0% model probability) Medium

Both Teams to Score Yes (63.0% model probability) High

Total Goals Over 2.5 (68.0% model probability) High

Corners RB Leipzig (more corners) (60.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Stuttgart win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (61.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.